Mexico's Green Party Tips 2024 Elections in Favor of Ruling Coalition

The Green Ecologist Party of Mexico (PVEM) played a decisive role in the 2024 Mexico City elections. Their votes secured key wins for the ruling 'Let’s Keep Making History' coalition in multiple boroughs and federal districts. Without their support, several results would have favoured the opposition alliance instead. In at least six boroughs—Iztacalco, Magdalena Contreras, Milpa Alta, Álvaro Obregón, Tlalpan, and Xochimilco—the Green Party’s ballots tipped the balance. In Iztacalco, their 33,000 votes lifted the coalition’s total above the PAN-PRI-PRD bloc’s 96,000. Without them, Morena and the PT would have fallen short. Similarly, in Xochimilco, the PVEM’s 32,000 votes pushed the ruling parties past the opposition’s 97,000.

Tlalpan saw an even narrower margin. The Greens contributed 57,000 votes, ensuring the coalition’s 157,306 edged out the opposition’s 157,663. In Álvaro Obregón, their 55,000 votes prevented a loss, as Morena and the PT would have trailed the Va por la CDMX alliance by 42,000. Magdalena Contreras followed the same pattern: excluding the Greens’ 18,000 votes, the ruling coalition would have lagged behind by 14,000. Beyond mayoral races, the PVEM’s influence extended to legislative seats. Their support helped the coalition secure nine federal districts—II, V, VI, IX, X, XII, XV, XXIV, and XXXIII—some of which had previously been held by opposition parties. Despite this success, the Greens’ leadership has criticised Morena’s presidency and the city government for insufficient political backing. Looking ahead, the party is shifting strategy. Jesús Sesma, the PVEM’s secretary-general, announced plans to run independently in the 2027 elections. He also positioned himself as a potential candidate for Mexico City mayor in 2030.

The 2024 elections confirmed the Green Party’s role as a kingmaker in Mexico City. Their votes secured victories in six boroughs and nine federal districts for the ruling coalition. Meanwhile, the party’s leadership has signalled a move toward greater independence in future contests.