Aircraft industry grapples with 14-year backlog as demand soars beyond production

The global aircraft industry is facing severe delays as demand outstrips production. With an order backlog of over 18,100 planes—60% of the current fleet—manufacturers are struggling to keep up. Supply chain issues and labour shortages have worsened the situation, leaving airlines with fewer aircraft than needed to replace ageing models. The crisis stems partly from the pandemic’s impact on production. In 2020, deliveries dropped sharply to just 806, down from a record 1,816 in 2018. Though recovery is underway, progress remains slow. By 2025, deliveries are expected to reach 1,515—still below pre-pandemic levels.

The backlog is now so large that clearing it at the current rate would take 14 years. Meanwhile, the average age of aircraft fleets has climbed to a record 15.2 years, raising concerns about efficiency and safety. Industry leaders warn that delays in aircraft and engine production are putting significant strain on airlines. Projections suggest improvement by 2027, with deliveries forecast to hit 2,357—539 more than the 2018 peak. Yet even this increase may not fully address the shortfall, as the industry remains over 5,000 planes short of replacement needs.

The combination of high demand, supply chain disruptions, and labour gaps continues to hinder aircraft production. Airlines are left operating older fleets while waiting for new deliveries. Without faster production growth, the backlog and its effects on the industry will persist for years.